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セミナー（2009年2月18日（水）） [ポスター]
主催：合意形成学国際プログラム（IPCOB：http://www.ipcob.org/）
共催：
・21世紀COEプログラム「エージェントベース社会システム科学の創出」
・CABSSS（エージェントベース社会システム科学研究センター）
・東京工業大学大学院社会理工学研究科価値システム専攻
日時：2009年2月18日（水）17:00-18:30
場所：東京工業大学大岡山キャンパス西9号館7階707室
講演タイトル：The Decision Support System GMCR II in Negotiations over
Groundwater Contamination（使用言語：英語）
講演者：Professor Keith W. Hipel
University Professor, PhD, PEng, FIEEE, FINCOSE, FCAE, FEIC, FRSC, FAWRA
Department of Systems Design Engineering, University of Waterloo
概要：
A groundwater contamination conflict is employed as an illustrative case
study to clearly
demonstrate how the decision support system GMCR II can be conveniently applied to
environmental negotiations as well as other kinds of disputes. The controversy,
systematically
studied using GMCR II, is the strategic conflict that arose after the discovery
of a carcinogen
in the aquifer supplying water to the town of Elmira, located in Southern
Ontario, Canada,
about 100 km west of Toronto. At the model formulation stage, GMCR II is
utilized to
describe the Elmira dispute in terms of decision makers, options or courses
of action available
to each decision maker, feasible states or scenarios that could take place, allowable moves
available to each decision maker, and relative preferences among states
for each of the
disputants. At the subsequent analysis step, GMCR II generates a range
of useful analytical
results that may assist an interested party in better understanding the strategic aspects of the
conflict and envisioning possible pathways for optimal decision making. For the Elmira dispute,
potential equilibria or compromise resolutions are suggested and the reasons
for the decision
of two of the disputants to form a coalition and bring about a dramatic
resolution to the
conflict are explained.
講演者略歴：
Keith Hipel is University Professor of Systems Design Engineering at the University of
Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, and is Vice President of the Academy of
Sciences
which is part of the Royal Society of Canada. Keith thoroughly enjoys mentoring
students and
is a recipient of the Distinguished Teacher
Award and the Award of Excellence in
Graduate Supervision from the University of Waterloo. His major research interests are the
development and application of conflict resolution, multiple objective
decision making and time
series analysis techniques from a systems design engineering perspective.
The main application
areas of these decision technologies are water resources management, hydrology, environmental
engineering and sustainable development. Keith is the author or co-author
of 4 books,
11 edited books, more than 200 journal papers, as well as many conference and encyclopedia
articles. He is Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada (FRSC), Canadian Academy of
Engineering (FCAE), Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (FIEEE), Engineering
Institute of Canada (FEIC), International Council on Systems
Engineering (FINCOSE), and
the American Water Resources Association (FAWRA).
Keith is also a recipient of the
Norbert Wiener Award from the IEEE
Systems, Man and Cybernetics (SMC) Society,
Outstanding Contribution Award
from the IEEE SMC Society, Docteur
Honoris Causa
from Ecole Centrale de Lille, W.R. Boggess Award
from AWRA, and the University of
Waterloo Award for Excellence in Research,. He has held a Canada Council Killam
Research Fellowship, Monbusho Kyoto University Visiting Professor Position, Stanley
Vineberg Memorial Visiting Professorship, Centre National de la Recherche
Scientifique
(CNRS)
Research Fellowship, and Japan Society for Promotion of Science (JSPS) Fellowship.
Moreover, he is a Professional Engineer (PEng) and has carried out consulting activities with
engineering firms, government agencies, and utilities in many countries.
Keith is an Associate
Editor of many international journals including the IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and
Cybernetics, Part A, Group Decision and Negotiation, and Systems Engineering.
Finally, Keith
has been privileged to serve members of the IEEE SMC Society through activities
such as
being an elected member of the Board of Governors for a total of nine years since 1990, Vice
President of Publications (1998-1999), Chair of the Strategic Opportunities
and Initiatives
Committee (2004-2005), member of the Strategic Planning Task Force (2004-2005),
member
of the Executive Committee (2004-2005, 1998-1999), organizer of sessions on Conflict and
Risk Analysis in Systems Management at all of the annual IEEE SMC Conferences
since 1991,
member of the IEEE SMC Fellow Selection Committee (2008, 2007, 1998, 1997),
and,
currently, Co-Chair of the Technical Committee on Conflict Resolution for which he jointly
received the Most Active SMC Technical Committee Award (2007). On October 8, 2007,
Keith delivered the opening keynote address entitled “Competition and Cooperation in Societal
and Technological Systems of Systems”, at the 2007 IEEE International Conference on Systems,
Man and Cybernetics held at the Delta Centre-Ville, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
予定
