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本文へジャンプ
セミナー2012年2月2日(木)

日時:2012年2月2日(木)17:00-19:00
場所:東京工業大学大岡山キャンパス西9号館7階707AVセミナー室
タイトル:
"Tackling Climate Change: A System of Systems Engineering Perspective"
and
"Fulfillment and Success in Research"

報告者:Professor Keith W. Hipel (カナダ・ウォータールー大学教授)

概要:
An integrative and adaptive approach to Responsible Governance is put forward for addressing climate change based on a System of Systems (SoS) Engineering framework that reflects the values of stakeholders using a participatory approach and achieves desirable systems goals such as resilience, sustainability and fairness. Currently, the world is suffering from an “Atmospheric Tragedy of the Commons” in which every nation is knowingly releasing deadly greenhouse gases in order to selfishly maximize its own economic benefits at the expense of  destroying the “Atmospheric Commons” and thereby causing severe climate change which will adversely affect all countries around the globe. To overcome this strategically unwise type of individual behavior, a cooperative approach to good governance is suggested which will benefit every nation economically in the long term and, more importantly, satisfy ethical systems objectives. More specifically, the “Fee and Dividend” concept devised by James Hansen and others is suggested as a truly insightful, yet simple, method  for solving the tough strategic decision-making aspects of climate change via: (1) Taxing carbon at its source or point of first sale (Fee). (2) Distributing 100% of this tax uniformly to all citizens (Dividend). (3) Negotiating a level of tax for each nation (Liability). (4) Increasing the tax over time in combination with stricter regulations to bring atmospheric carbon accumulation to a stipulated level (Survival). When compared to other alternatives, such as Cap and Trade, the “Fee and Dividend” idea may form the basis of a feasible and sensible method for handling climate change in the same way that the 1987 “Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer”, and its extended versions thereof, constitute exceptional international agreements for cooperatively controlling the size of the ozone hole before it reached the point of no return. Indeed, the citizens of the world are most grateful to the truly remarkable scientists, consisting of Mario Molina, Paul Crutzen and Frank Rowland, who received the 1995 Nobel Prize for Chemistry for explaining how CFCs created the ozone hole. In fact, responsible governance is not only needed in proactively combating climate change and the ozone hole but in many other highly interconnected complex SoS problems such as the failed American financial system, growing gap between the rich and poor, unfair medical systems, irresponsible energy production and usage, widespread pollution of both natural and societal systems, and unreliable aging infrastructure. Accordingly, extensive research is urgently needed for developing a comprehensive theoretical structure for System of Systems Science and Engineering for suitably solving current and emerging complex systems problems.


Keith Hipel uses the valuable experience that he has gained during a long and exciting career as an academic in Systems Design Engineering at the University of Waterloo to explain how to have contentment and impact in research and mentoring students. Of fundamental importance is to carry out research with your students and colleagues in the area of your heart’s desire and to have fun passing on your knowledge to others and solving pressing problems using your ideas. By focusing on how you can help others in your academic work and not worrying about the impact of your research and teaching in terms of personal recognition, you will automatically be travelling down the road of success. When an entrepreneur develops novel products to benefit society, monetary gain usually follows after years of hard work and many setbacks along the way. Likewise, as you gain maturity in your academic career while pursuing your scholarly goals, you will eventually receive prestigious awards, have your theoretical concepts utilized by industry and government for tackling practical problems, be awarded patents and see your research highly cited by others. The Hirsch Index, popularly referred to as the H-Index, constitutes a useful means for gauging the long-term impact of your research. An H-Index of 30, for example, means that you have written 30 papers each of which has been cited by authors in the literature at least 30 times. As you travel down your academic path keep in mind a number of “rules of thumb” to keep you on the highway of success. Firstly, it is difficult to predict which of your papers will be highly referenced. However, publishing your research in high quality, well-known journals is a necessary condition for your contributions to gain widespread acceptance. It is a waste of your time to publish your better research in journals that are not well known and of lower quality. Also, keep in mind that creative papers published in good journals may not become popular straight away, but could be highly referenced years later ? do not expect instant recognition, although this may sometimes happen. Even though the monetary payback may be small, it is certainly worthwhile to every so often bring your many ideas together in a systematic, logical, comprehensive and insightful manner within a well-written book that puts your findings into proper perspective ? the fact is that a good book is highly cited. Take advantage of opportunities to carry out high-level consulting in order for you to show leadership to industry and discover where useful research is needed. Remember that design, which constitutes the heart of engineering, is creative problem solving or informed decision making for effectively solving a challenging problem in the face of conflicting value systems of stakeholders and high uncertainty. Overall, enjoy what you do as you design solutions to tough theoretical and practical problems and you will achieve genuine contentment in your career.

主催:合意形成学国際プログラム(IPCOB:http://www.ipcob.org/
 
合意形成学国際プログラム International Program on Consensus Building